Discover how emotional biases impact stock market crash estimates. See why expert analysis suggests lower risk and learn how to refine your own forecasts.

Easily ranking among the most agonizing options-based ideas, Uber Technologies ($UBER) nevertheless presents a nuanced ...

When all is said and done, options trading comes down to narrowing down uncertainty — and that couldn’t be more apt for ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Probability is a fundamental concept in mathematics and statistics that deals with the likelihood of events occurring. It provides a framework for quantifying uncertainty and making predictions based ...

Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...

The mathematician Daniel Litt has driven social media users to distraction with a series of simple-seeming but counterintuitive probability puzzles. In late January, Daniel Litt posed an innocent ...

What is a conditional sentence? Conditionals are structures which express a situation and the possible results. If it rains, I'll stay inside and watch a film. Use the zero conditional to express ...